RealClearPolitics – Election Different

Ballot Date Pattern

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Unfold RCP Common 9/1 – 9/23 — 45.7 50.3 -4.6 Reuters/IpsosReuters 9/22 – 9/23 1005 A 44 51 -7 Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen 9/21 – 9/23 1500 LV 42 56 -14 Economist/YouGovYouGov 9/18 – 9/21 1281 RV 46 48 -2 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 9/18 – 9/20 1998 RV 47 50 -3 Reuters/IpsosReuters 9/15 – 9/16 1005 A 44 50 -6 Harvard-HarrisHarris 9/15 – 9/16 1578 RV 48 50 -2 FOX NewsFOX Information 9/12 – 9/15 1002 RV 50 49 +1 Economist/YouGovYouGov 9/12 – 9/14 1252 RV 46 49 -3 QuinnipiacQuinnipiac 9/10 – 9/13 RV 44 50 -6 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 9/10 – 9/13 1997 RV 47 50 -3 MonmouthMonmouth 9/9 – 9/13 747 RV 47 46 +1 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 9/10 – 9/11 958 RV 47 44 +3 GallupGallup 9/1 – 9/17 1005 A 43 53 -10 Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar 9/8 – 9/9 1086 LV 44 54 -10 Reuters/IpsosReuters 9/8 – 9/9 1005 A 47 46 +1 Economist/YouGovYouGov 9/4 – 9/7 1264 RV 43 52 -9 IBD/TIPPIBD/TIPP 9/1 – 9/3 1044 RV 47 45 +2 Reuters/IpsosReuters 9/1 – 9/2 1005 A 46 48 -2 EmersonEmerson 8/30 – 9/1 1200 RV 46 47 -1 ABC Information/Wash PostABC/WP 8/29 – 9/1 1002 A 44 51 -7 NPR/PBS/MaristNPR/PBS 8/26 – 9/1 1145 RV 43 51 -8 Economist/YouGovYouGov 8/28 – 8/31 1262 RV 47 46 +1 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 8/28 – 8/30 1997 RV 47 49 -2 Reuters/IpsosReuters 8/25 – 8/26 1006 A 49 46 +3 Economist/YouGovYouGov 8/21 – 8/24 1242 RV 48 46 +2 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 8/21 – 8/24 1996 RV 50 48 +2 CNNCNN 8/3 – 9/7 1838 RV 50 50 Tie USA At present/SuffolkUSA At present 8/19 – 8/23 1000 RV 41 55 -14 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 8/20 – 8/22 2846 RV 49 43 +6 Reuters/IpsosReuters 8/18 – 8/19 1002 A 46 49 -3 NBC Information/Wall St. JrnlNBC/WSJ 8/14 – 8/17 790 RV 50 48 +2 Economist/YouGovYouGov 8/14 – 8/17 1250 RV 47 47 Tie Federalist/SusquehannaSusquehanna 8/12 – 8/18 800 LV 49 45 +4 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 8/13 – 8/16 1998 RV 51 46 +5 Reuters/IpsosReuters 8/11 – 8/12 1002 A 51 43 +8 GallupGallup 8/2 – 8/17 1006 A 49 48 +1 Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar 8/8 – 8/11 1073 LV 47 48 -1 Economist/YouGovYouGov 8/7 – 8/10 1251 RV 47 45 +2 FOX NewsFOX Information 8/7 – 8/10 1002 RV 53 46 +7 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 8/7 – 8/9 1996 RV 51 46 +5 Reuters/IpsosReuters 8/4 – 8/5 1004 A 50 43 +7 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 8/4 – 8/5 1103 RV 55 45 +10 Economist/YouGovYouGov 7/31 – 8/3 1233 RV 49 44 +5 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 7/31 – 8/2 1998 RV 52 46 +6 QuinnipiacQuinnipiac 7/27 – 8/2 RV 47 44 +3 Reuters/IpsosReuters 7/28 – 7/29 1005 A 54 42 +12 Harvard-HarrisHarris 7/28 – 7/29 1788 RV 52 43 +9 IBD/TIPPIBD/TIPP 7/28 – 7/30 1026 RV 57 34 +23 CNBCCNBC 7/24 – 7/28 802 A 48 45 +3 MaristMarist 7/21 – 7/29 943 RV 50 45 +5 Economist/YouGovYouGov 7/24 – 7/27 1280 RV 49 45 +4 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 7/23 – 7/26 1997 RV 52 45 +7 MonmouthMonmouth 7/21 – 7/26 753 RV 49 44 +5 Reuters/IpsosReuters 7/21 – 7/22 1005 A 54 40 +14 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 7/20 – 7/21 949 RV 58 42 +16 Economist/YouGovYouGov 7/17 – 7/20 1272 RV 50 43 +7 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 7/16 – 7/18 1997 RV 52 44 +8 Reuters/IpsosReuters 7/14 – 7/15 1005 A 53 42 +11 GallupGallup 7/6 – 7/21 1007 A 50 45 +5 Economist/YouGovYouGov 7/10 – 7/13 1292 RV 49 45 +4 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 7/9 – 7/12 1996 RV 52 45 +7 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 7/8 – 7/9 938 RV 59 41 +18 Reuters/IpsosReuters 7/7 – 7/8 1004 A 52 43 +9 Economist/YouGovYouGov 7/3 – 7/6 1281 RV 51 44 +7 IBD/TIPPIBD/TIPP 6/30 – 7/2 1145 RV 54 38 +16 Reuters/IpsosReuters 6/30 – 7/1 1004 A 51 42 +9 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 6/29 – 6/30 950 RV 60 40 +20 ABC Information/Wash PostABC/WP 6/27 – 6/30 907 A 50 42 +8 Economist/YouGovYouGov 6/26 – 6/29 1290 RV 50 46 +4 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 6/25 – 6/28 1989 RV 54 43 +11 NPR/PBS/MaristNPR/PBS 6/22 – 6/29 905 RV 51 44 +7 Reuters/IpsosReuters 6/23 – 6/24 1005 A 53 40 +13 Economist/YouGovYouGov 6/20 – 6/22 1223 RV 52 44 +8 FOX NewsFOX Information 6/19 – 6/22 1001 RV 56 43 +13 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 6/18 – 6/20 2041 RV 54 43 +11 Reuters/IpsosReuters 6/16 – 6/17 1002 A 52 42 +10 Economist/YouGovYouGov 6/13 – 6/15 1305 RV 48 45 +3 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 6/11 – 6/13 1994 RV 53 44 +9 Harvard-HarrisHarris 6/15 – 6/17 2006 RV 59 36 +23 MonmouthMonmouth 6/9 – 6/14 758 RV 49 43 +6 GallupGallup 6/1 – 6/18 1012 A 56 42 +14 Reuters/IpsosReuters 6/9 – 6/10 1004 A 55 40 +15 GU Politics/BattlegroundGU Politics 6/5 – 6/10 1000 RV 52 45 +7 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 6/7 – 6/9 1885 RV 61 39 +22 Economist/YouGovYouGov 6/6 – 6/8 1242 RV 51 43 +8 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 6/4 – 6/7 1990 RV 52 43 +9 Reuters/IpsosReuters 6/2 – 6/3 1005 A 54 42 +12 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 5/30 – 6/1 1893 RV 61 39 +22 Economist/YouGovYouGov 5/29 – 6/1 1275 RV 50 43 +7 IBD/TIPPIBD/TIPP 5/26 – 5/28 1006 RV 59 32 +27 Reuters/IpsosReuters 5/26 – 5/27 1005 A 52 44 +8 FOX NewsFOX Information 5/22 – 5/25 1003 RV 54 42 +12 Economist/YouGovYouGov 5/22 – 5/25 1248 RV 52 42 +10 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 5/21 – 5/24 1993 RV 55 41 +14 QuinnipiacQuinnipiac 5/18 – 5/24 1316 A 49 41 +8 Reuters/IpsosReuters 5/19 – 5/20 1004 A 56 39 +17 Harvard-HarrisHarris 5/19 – 5/20 1945 RV 62 38 +24 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 5/17 – 5/19 1889 RV 60 40 +20 Economist/YouGovYouGov 5/15 – 5/18 1239 RV 51 43 +8 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 5/14 – 5/17 1992 RV 54 42 +12 Reuters/IpsosReuters 5/11 – 5/12 1005 A 56 38 +18 Economist/YouGovYouGov 5/8 – 5/11 1204 RV 52 44 +8 Day by day Kos/CiviqsDaily Kos 5/8 – 5/11 1464 RV 48 46 +2 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 5/7 – 5/9 1994 RV 56 40 +16 NPR/PBS/MaristNPR/PBS 5/4 – 5/10 1075 RV 53 42 +11 GallupGallup 5/3 – 5/18 1016 A 54 40 +14 Reuters/IpsosReuters 5/4 – 5/5 1005 A 55 38 +17 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 5/3 – 5/4 939 RV 60 40 +20 Economist/YouGovYouGov 5/1 – 5/4 1187 RV 49 46 +3 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 4/30 – 5/3 1991 RV 57 38 +19 IBD/TIPPIBD/TIPP 4/28 – 4/30 1057 RV 55 35 +20 Harvard-HarrisHarris 4/27 – 4/29 1872 RV 59 38 +21 Reuters/IpsosReuters 4/27 – 4/28 1005 A 55 38 +17 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 4/26 – 4/28 2819 RV 60 40 +20 Economist/YouGovYouGov 4/25 – 4/27 1219 RV 52 41 +11 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 4/24 – 4/26 1991 RV 60 37 +23 CNNCNN 4/21 – 4/26 RV 52 45 +7 Reuters/IpsosReuters 4/21 – 4/22 1004 A 54 39 +15 MaristMarist 4/19 – 4/21 1688 RV 54 44 +10 ABC Information/Wash PostABC/WP 4/18 – 4/21 1007 A 52 42 +10 FOX NewsFOX Information 4/18 – 4/21 1002 RV 54 43 +11 NBC Information/Wall St. JrnlNBC/WSJ 4/17 – 4/20 790 RV 51 43 +8 Economist/YouGovYouGov 4/17 – 4/20 1225 RV 51 42 +9 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 4/16 – 4/19 1992 RV 58 38 +20 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 4/16 – 4/19 2881 RV 61 39 +22 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 4/9 – 4/13 3766 RV 61 39 +22 Day by day Kos/CiviqsDaily Kos 4/9 – 4/12 1541 RV 48 47 +1 NPR/PBS/MaristNPR/PBS 4/7 – 4/13 1066 RV 52 41 +11 QuinnipiacQuinnipiac 4/8 – 4/12 1237 A 48 42 +6 MonmouthMonmouth 4/8 – 4/12 743 RV 53 43 +10 CNBCCNBC 4/8 – 4/11 802 A 47 41 +6 GallupGallup 4/1 – 4/21 961 A 57 40 +17 Economist/YouGovYouGov 4/10 – 4/13 1263 RV 51 43 +8 Reuters/IpsosReuters 4/14 – 4/15 1005 A 54 38 +16 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 4/9 – 4/12 1992 RV 59 37 +22 Reuters/IpsosReuters 4/7 – 4/8 1005 A 56 37 +19 Economist/YouGovYouGov 4/3 – 4/6 1243 RV 52 42 +10 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 4/2 – 4/5 2732 RV 61 39 +22 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 4/2 – 4/4 1989 RV 59 37 +22 IBD/TIPPIBD/TIPP 3/31 – 4/3 1215 RV 59 34 +25 Reuters/IpsosReuters 3/31 – 4/1 1005 A 54 41 +13 Economist/YouGovYouGov 3/27 – 3/30 1259 RV 50 43 +7 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 3/26 – 3/29 2043 RV 58 39 +19 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 3/24 – 3/26 1882 RV 61 39 +22 Reuters/IpsosReuters 3/24 – 3/25 1005 A 53 41 +12 Harvard-HarrisHarris 3/24 – 3/25 1945 RV 61 39 +22 NPR/MaristNPR/Marist 3/22 – 3/25 1167 RV 52 41 +11 Economist/YouGovYouGov 3/20 – 3/23 1267 RV 51 43 +8 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 3/19 – 3/22 1994 RV 57 40 +17 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 3/19 – 3/22 2858 RV 60 40 +20 Reuters/IpsosReuters 3/17 – 3/18 1005 A 59 35 +24 Economist/YouGovYouGov 3/13 – 3/17 1218 RV 55 41 +14 Day by day Kos/CiviqsDaily Kos 3/12 – 3/16 1673 RV 51 44 +7 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 3/12 – 3/15 1993 RV 62 34 +28 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 3/12 – 3/14 2839 RV 59 41 +18 Reuters/IpsosReuters 3/10 – 3/11 1001 A 54 39 +15 Economist/YouGovYouGov 3/6 – 3/9 1242 RV 52 41 +11 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 3/6 – 3/8 1990 RV 59 37 +22 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 3/5 – 3/8 2839 RV 58 42 +16 CNNCNN 3/3 – 3/8 RV 50 44 +6 GallupGallup 3/1 – 3/15 1010 A 54 42 +12 NPR/PBS/MaristNPR/PBS 3/3 – 3/8 1082 RV 48 43 +5 Reuters/IpsosReuters 3/3 – 3/4 1005 A 58 35 +23 Economist/YouGovYouGov 2/27 – 3/2 1191 RV 52 42 +10 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 2/26 – 3/1 1992 RV 57 37 +20 MonmouthMonmouth 2/25 – 3/1 731 RV 50 43 +7 IBD/TIPPIBD/TIPP 2/24 – 2/27 1058 RV 57 32 +25 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 2/24 – 2/26 1909 RV 58 42 +16 Reuters/IpsosReuters 2/24 – 2/25 1004 A 57 37 +20 Harvard-HarrisHarris 2/23 – 2/25 2006 RV 61 39 +22 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 2/23 – 2/24 949 RV 59 41 +18 Economist/YouGovYouGov 2/19 – 2/22 1201 RV 51 40 +11 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 2/19 – 2/22 2013 RV 58 36 +22 Reuters/IpsosReuters 2/17 – 2/18 1005 A 56 36 +20 Economist/YouGovYouGov 2/13 – 2/16 1259 RV 55 40 +15 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 2/14 – 2/15 1984 RV 62 33 +29 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 2/12 – 2/15 2835 RV 59 41 +18 QuinnipiacQuinnipiac 2/11 – 2/14 1056 A 50 38 +12 GallupGallup 2/3 – 2/18 1021 A 56 40 +16 Reuters/IpsosReuters 2/9 – 2/10 1001 A 57 37 +20 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 2/8 – 2/9 938 RV 60 40 +20 Economist/YouGovYouGov 2/6 – 2/9 1306 RV 53 40 +13 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 2/5 – 2/7 1986 RV 59 35 +24 EmersonEmerson 2/2 – 2/3 1429 A 49 39 +10 Reuters/IpsosReuters 2/2 – 2/3 1005 A 57 34 +23 Economist/YouGovYouGov 1/31 – 2/2 1272 RV 50 40 +10 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 1/29 – 2/1 1986 RV 58 35 +23 QuinnipiacQuinnipiac 1/28 – 2/1 1075 A 49 36 +13 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 1/28 – 1/29 945 RV 61 39 +22 IBD/TIPPIBD/TIPP 1/27 – 1/29 1002 RV 58 29 +29 MaristMarist 1/24 – 1/27 1153 RV 50 36 +14 GallupGallup 1/21 – 2/2 906 A 57 37 +20 Economist/YouGovYouGov 1/24 – 1/26 1245 RV 52 36 +16 Politico/Morning ConsultPolitico 1/22 – 1/25 1990 RV 59 32 +27 MonmouthMonmouth 1/21 – 1/24 736 RV 54 31 +23 The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill 1/21 – 1/22 941 RV 63 37 +26 Reuters/IpsosReuters 1/20 – 1/21 950 RV 57 32 +25

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